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PolymarketOpenEnds in 121 months

How many Republican House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

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US ElectionPoliticsTrumpCongressPrimariesElections
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Will Republican House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

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YES47%NO53%
Ends in 121 months
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Will Republican House incumbents not win in fewer than three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

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YES47%NO53%
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Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

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YES46%NO54%
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Will Republican House incumbents not win in between seven and nine nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

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YES4%NO96%
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Will Republican House incumbents not win in between thirteen and fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

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YES4%NO96%
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Will Republican House incumbents not win in more than fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

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YES4%NO96%
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