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PolymarketOpenEnds in 121 months

How many Democratic House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

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TrumpUS ElectionCongressPoliticsPrimariesElections
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Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

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YES45%NO55%
Ends in 121 months
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Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

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YES4%NO96%
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24h Vol-

Will Democratic House incumbents not win in fewer than three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

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YES24%NO76%
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Will Democratic House incumbents not win in more than fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

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YES4%NO96%
Ends in 121 months
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Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between thirteen and fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

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YES4%NO96%
Ends in 121 months
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Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between seven and nine nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

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YES23%NO77%
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24h Vol-
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