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PolymarketOpenEnds in 121 months

How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

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PoliticsCongressElectionsPrimariesTrumpUS Election
Markets: 6/6Volume (24h): $16Liquidity: $7.2K

Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

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YES34%NO66%
Ends in 121 months
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Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly one nominating election in the 2026 cycle?

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YES42%NO58%
Ends in 121 months
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Will Republican Senate incumbents win all their nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

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YES18%NO82%
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Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly four nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

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YES8%NO92%
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Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in more than four nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

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YES5%NO95%
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Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

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YES7%NO93%
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