Outcomes
Before May 1, 2026
Mid
18.0%Bid
-Ask
-Not Before May 1, 2026
Mid
82.0%Bid
-Ask
-Market Stats
Volume (24h)
$169
Liquidity
$0
Open Interest
$41.3K
Last Updated
2/19/26, 1:00 PM
Rules & Resolution
If SpaceX confirms an IPO before May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Additional Conditions
An IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after May 1, 2026.