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KalshiOpenEnds in 10 months

Will JA21 form the next government in the Netherlands?

Outcomes
JA21
Mid
2.0%
Bid
-
Ask
5.0%
Not JA21
Mid
98.0%
Bid
95.0%
Ask
-
Market Stats
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$12.9K
Open Interest
$5.6K
Last Updated
2/19/26, 7:10 AM
Rules & Resolution

If a coalition that includes JA21 is part of the next elected ruling government of the Netherlands before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Additional Conditions

A party is considered part of government if one or more of its representatives hold at least one ministerial or cabinet-level position in the new government. This evaluation occurs at the first official, stable formation of the government once the legislative process is complete and the head of state appoints ministers under normal non-caretaker circumstances. Confidence and supply arrangements where a party supports the government without holding cabinet positions may be included if explicitly specified in the parties description. Caretaker or interim governments appointed temporarily before formal government formation do not count for determining party status.

Resolution Sources

Contract Documents