Skip to main content
PolymarketOpenEnds in 10 months

Will Trump deport 400-500k people?

Outcomes
400-500k
Mid
22.0%
Bid
-
Ask
-
Not 400-500k
Mid
78.0%
Bid
-
Ask
-
Market Stats
Volume (24h)
-
Liquidity
$5.9K
Last Updated
2/19/26, 10:50 AM
Rules & Resolution

During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf).

This market will resolve according to the number of non citizens removed by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) in the 2026 fiscal year.

The resolution source will be the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.