Outcomes
Yes
Mid
18.5%Bid
-Ask
-No
Mid
81.5%Bid
-Ask
-Market Stats
Volume (24h)
$75
Liquidity
$4.1K
Last Updated
2/19/26, 12:40 PM
Rules & Resolution
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lisa Murkowski leaves, or announces that she is leaving, the Republican Party by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement from Murkowski that she will leave the Republican Party, join a separate party, or become an independent within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, regardless of when the announced party switch is intended to take effect or whether Murkowski intends to continue caucusing with the Republican Party.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Lisa Murkowski; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.