Outcomes
Yes
Mid
64.0%Bid
-Ask
-No
Mid
36.0%Bid
-Ask
-Market Stats
Volume (24h)
$8.4K
Liquidity
$5.1K
Last Updated
2/19/26, 12:40 PM
Rules & Resolution
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- United States wins most Medals at 2026 Winter Olympics - Starmer out - Insurrection Act invoked - March Fed Derivative: "25bps cut" flips "Pause" - US strikes Iran - Israel strikes Iran - Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran - US-Iran nuclear deal - Russia x Ukraine ceasefire - Bitcoin hits ↓ 40,000
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_February.pdf