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KalshiOpenEnds in 47 months

Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?

Outcomes
Before 2030
Mid
45.5%
Bid
-
Ask
-
Not Before 2030
Mid
54.5%
Bid
-
Ask
-
Market Stats
Volume (24h)
$1
Liquidity
$0
Open Interest
$12.2K
Last Updated
2/19/26, 11:00 AM
Rules & Resolution

If there is at least an earthquake of 8.0 magnitude with an epicenter in Japan or its territorial waters before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Sources

Contract Documents