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KalshiOpenEnds in 7 days

Will the minimum temperature be 40-41° on Feb 19, 2026?

Outcomes
40° to 41°
Mid
43.5%
Bid
-
Ask
-
Not 40° to 41°
Mid
56.5%
Bid
-
Ask
-
Market Stats
Volume (24h)
$1.3K
Liquidity
$0
Open Interest
$903
Last Updated
2/19/26, 9:20 AM
Rules & Resolution

If the minimum temperature recorded at Chicago for Feb 19, 2026, is between 40-41° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.

Additional Conditions

Data for CLIMDW can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=lot, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Chicago - Midway, IL" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.

Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.

Resolution Sources

Contract Documents