Will the 2026 State of the Union have between 39M and 41M viewers?

This market will resolve according to the number of viewers (Persons 2+, average total viewers) Nielsen reports the 2026 State of the Union address as having.

If this event is cancelled or otherwise does not occur by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. A consensus of credible reporting on Nielsen's Persons 2+ statistic for the 2026 State of the Union address may also be used. If the 2026 State of the Union address takes place, and Nielsen does not provide viewership information for the broadcast of the address within 10 calendar days, another credible resolution for the 2026 State of the Union viewership source may be chosen.