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PolymarketOpenEnds in 10 months

Trump cabinet member out by March 31, 2026?

Outcomes
March 31, 2026
Mid
33.5%
Bid
-
Ask
-
Not March 31, 2026
Mid
66.5%
Bid
-
Ask
-
Market Stats
Volume (24h)
$19
Liquidity
$838
Last Updated
2/19/26, 11:00 AM
Rules & Resolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one cabinet-level Donald Trump appointee from his second term leaves their position between market creation and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Voluntary resignations, removals, retirements, or departures for any reason will count.

Announcements alone will not qualify toward this market's resolution. An individual must actually have left their cabinet-level position.

For the purpose of this market, a Cabinet level position is defined as the heads of the 15 executive departments, Administrator of the EPA, President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP or any position listed on https://www.whitehouse.gov/administration/the-cabinet.

Temporary or acting officials will not count toward this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.