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KalshiOpenEnds in 30 months

Who will win the next Kenyan Senate election?

Outcomes
:: All seats won by parties in any registered pre-election coalition that includes UDA (excluding any that include ODM)
Mid
45.0%
Bid
-
Ask
-
Not :: All seats won by parties in any registered pre-election coalition that includes UDA (excluding any that include ODM)
Mid
55.0%
Bid
-
Ask
-
Market Stats
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$0
Open Interest
$1
Last Updated
2/19/26, 2:20 PM
Rules & Resolution

If the winner of the next Kenyan Senate election expected to be held in 2027 at the latest is Coalition including UDA, then the market resolves to Yes.

Additional Conditions

For presidential elections, the relevant question is whether the person wins the election, regardless of their partisan affiliation. For legislative elections, the relevant question is whether the party or alliance wins more seats than any other party or alliance.

Resolution Sources

Contract Documents