Outcomes
claude-opus-4-6
Mid
50.5%Bid
45.0%Ask
56.0%Spread
11.0%Not claude-opus-4-6
Mid
49.5%Bid
44.0%Ask
55.0%Spread
11.0%Market Stats
Volume (24h)
$31.9K
Liquidity
$0
Open Interest
$60.6K
Last Updated
2/19/26, 9:11 AM
Rules & Resolution
If claude-opus-4-6 is the top-ranked AI model on Feb 28, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Additional Conditions
If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win. Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.