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PolymarketOpenEnds in 8 days

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Outcomes
Yes
Mid
7.1%
Bid
7.0%
Ask
7.2%
Spread
0.2%
No
Mid
92.9%
Bid
92.8%
Ask
93.0%
Spread
0.2%
Market Stats
Volume (24h)
$730.1K
Liquidity
$240.8K
Last Updated
2/19/26, 5:31 AM
Rules & Resolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran's Supreme Leader, Ali Khamenei, is removed from power for any length of time between this market's creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Khamenei will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Supreme Leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.