Outcomes
Yes
Mid
14.5%Bid
-Ask
-No
Mid
85.5%Bid
-Ask
-Market Stats
Volume (24h)
-
Liquidity
$3.7K
Last Updated
2/19/26, 5:30 AM
Rules & Resolution
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.