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KalshiOpenEnds in 16 months

Will Netflix's takeover of Warner Brothers succeed Before July 2027?

Outcomes
Netflix
Mid
35.5%
Bid
35.0%
Ask
36.0%
Spread
1.0%
Not Netflix
Mid
64.5%
Bid
64.0%
Ask
65.0%
Spread
1.0%
Market Stats
Volume (24h)
$23.8K
Liquidity
$0
Open Interest
$234.6K
Last Updated
2/19/26, 9:01 AM
Rules & Resolution

If qualifying public announcements indicate Netflix's takeover of Warner Brothers has succeeded Before July 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Additional Conditions

A takeover "succeeds" when BOTH of the following are publicly announced: (a) Corporate Approval—shareholders approved the acquisition OR the acquirer acquired controlling interest (>50% of voting shares); AND (b) Conditions Satisfaction—all material conditions including regulatory approvals have been satisfied or waived. Press releases, SEC filings (8-K, Schedule TO amendments), and official company announcements qualify. Letters of intent, agreements in principle, or conditional announcements do not satisfy the criteria. If one acquirer's takeover succeeds, all other acquirer markets immediately resolve to No. Resolution is based on the announcements, not the ultimate transaction outcome—if both criteria are announced but the deal later fails, the market still resolves to Yes. The "None" option resolves to Yes only if no takeover succeeds by the deadline.

Resolution Sources

Contract Documents