Outcomes
Before 2027
Mid
91.0%Bid
-Ask
-Not Before 2027
Mid
9.0%Bid
-Ask
-Market Stats
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$0
Open Interest
$977
Last Updated
2/19/26, 11:00 AM
Rules & Resolution
If xAI releases Grok 5 before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Additional Conditions
Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.