Outcomes
Before October
Mid
87.5%Bid
-Ask
-Not Before October
Mid
12.5%Bid
-Ask
-Market Stats
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$0
Open Interest
$137
Last Updated
2/19/26, 11:00 AM
Rules & Resolution
If xAI releases Grok 5 before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Additional Conditions
Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.