KalshiOpenEnds in 10 months
Will legislation that subjects covered AI-chip exports to mandatory congressional review with a statutory blocking period become law before Jan 1, 2027?
Outcomes
AI-chip export licensing
Mid
22.5%Bid
-Ask
-Not AI-chip export licensing
Mid
77.5%Bid
-Ask
-Market Stats
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$0
Open Interest
$1.2K
Last Updated
2/19/26, 11:00 AM
Rules & Resolution
If legislation that subjects covered AI-chip exports to mandatory congressional review with a statutory blocking period has become law before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Additional Conditions
An example of this is H.R. 6875 (119th) — “AI OVERWATCH Act.”
The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage. For "become law" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to No. Joint resolutions are treated as bills. Treaties require two-thirds Senate approval for passage. The market resolves based on the first occurrence of the specified milestone.