Outcomes
40° to 41°
Mid
48.0%Bid
47.0%Ask
49.0%Spread
2.0%Not 40° to 41°
Mid
52.0%Bid
51.0%Ask
53.0%Spread
2.0%Market Stats
Volume (24h)
$10.6K
Liquidity
$0
Open Interest
$8.5K
Last Updated
2/19/26, 9:21 AM
Rules & Resolution
If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for February 19, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 40-41°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Additional Conditions
Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.