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KalshiOpenEnds in 22 months

Which countries will have recessions?

Outcomes
India
Mid
10.5%
Bid
-
Ask
-
Not India
Mid
89.5%
Bid
-
Ask
-
Market Stats
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$0
Open Interest
$7.5K
Last Updated
2/19/26, 11:00 AM
Rules & Resolution

If India has two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth between Jan 1, 2024 and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Additional Conditions

The exact dataset for India is GDP, Real, Seasonally Adjusted, Domestic Currency from the IMF.

Resolution Sources

Contract Documents