Outcomes
Mark Francois
Mid
26.5%Bid
-Ask
-Not Mark Francois
Mid
73.5%Bid
-Ask
-Market Stats
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$0
Open Interest
$3.0K
Last Updated
2/19/26, 11:00 AM
Rules & Resolution
If Mark Francois announces they are joining Reform UK before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Additional Conditions
Merely supporting individual candidates for Reform UK is insufficient to resolve the market to Yes.
Resolution Sources
- ABC
- Axios
- Bloomberg News
- CBS
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- Fox News
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- NBC
- official press releases from person's office or representatives
- official social media accounts controlled by person
- official statements from political party
- official voter registration records
- official websites of person
- person
- Politico
- Reuters
- Semafor
- the Associated Press
- The Information
- The New York Times
- The Wall Street Journal
- The Washington Post