Outcomes
March 31
Mid
2.7%Bid
-Ask
-Not March 31
Mid
97.3%Bid
-Ask
-Market Stats
Volume (24h)
$3.9K
Liquidity
$32.0K
Last Updated
2/19/26, 9:20 AM
Rules & Resolution
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.