Outcomes
Q3 2025
Mid
1.5%Bid
1.0%Ask
4.0%Spread
3.0%Not Q3 2025
Mid
98.5%Bid
96.0%Ask
99.0%Spread
3.0%Market Stats
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$0
Open Interest
$19.8K
Last Updated
2/19/26, 12:30 PM
Rules & Resolution
If the NBER declares the peak of American business activity predating a recession to be in Q3 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.