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KalshiOpenEnds in 5 months

Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal before August?

Outcomes
Yes
Mid
37.5%
Bid
-
Ask
-
No
Mid
62.5%
Bid
-
Ask
-
Market Stats
Volume (24h)
$4.3K
Liquidity
$2.3K
Open Interest
$7.1K
Last Updated
2/19/26, 7:20 AM
Rules & Resolution

If the United States has agreed to, signed, or accepted a new Iran-US nuclear deal before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Additional Conditions

An agreement also made with other countries (i.e. multilaterally) is still encompassed if the United States participates. "A new Iran-US nuclear deal" means a formal written agreement signed by authorized representatives of both the United States and Iran that (1) imposes verifiable restrictions on Iran's nuclear program, including limits on uranium enrichment, centrifuge numbers, or nuclear facility operations, AND (2) provides for the lifting, suspension, or modification of at least one US economic sanction on Iran in exchange for Iran's nuclear commitments.

Resolution Sources

Contract Documents