Outcomes
April 30
Mid
70.5%Bid
-Ask
-Not April 30
Mid
29.5%Bid
-Ask
-Market Stats
Volume (24h)
$719
Liquidity
$3.4K
Last Updated
2/19/26, 10:40 AM
Rules & Resolution
If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.