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KalshiOpenEnds in 8 months

Will exactly 3 House Democratic members lose their primary in 2026?

Outcomes
3
Mid
14.0%
Bid
-
Ask
-
Not 3
Mid
86.0%
Bid
-
Ask
-
Market Stats
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$0
Open Interest
$446
Last Updated
2/19/26, 11:00 AM
Rules & Resolution

If the number of House Democratic members that lose their primary in 2026 is exactly 3, then the market resolves to Yes.

Additional Conditions

To be included, candidates must: be running in an election for the office they currently hold (regardless of District), for a party they are currently in, as of primary day for the seat they're contesting in in 2026; be running for the nomination of a position whose election day is on the same date as most Congressional elections in 2026, typically an early Tuesday of November; and lose the Democratic primary for that election to another candidate.

Resolution Sources

Contract Documents