Outcomes
Before April
Mid
10.0%Bid
-Ask
-Not Before April
Mid
90.0%Bid
-Ask
-Market Stats
Volume (24h)
$404
Liquidity
$0
Open Interest
$10.9K
Last Updated
2/19/26, 12:40 PM
Rules & Resolution
If xAI releases Grok 5 before Apr 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Additional Conditions
Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.