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KalshiOpenEnds in 12 days

Will Donald Trump endorse Ken Paxton in the 2026 Texas Senate Republican primary before Mar 3, 2026?

Outcomes
:: Texas Senate
Mid
18.5%
Bid
-
Ask
-
Not :: Texas Senate
Mid
81.5%
Bid
-
Ask
-
Market Stats
Volume (24h)
$173
Liquidity
$11.2K
Open Interest
$9.3K
Last Updated
2/19/26, 5:30 AM
Rules & Resolution

If Donald Trump publicly endorses Ken Paxton in the 2026 Texas Senate Republican primary before Mar 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Additional Conditions

An endorsement requires a clear, affirmative statement of support for the nominee's election. The statement must be public (not private communications) and specifically reference the race or be clearly in context of the race. The endorsement must come directly from the person or through their official channels. Positive comments without explicit support, policy endorsements without nominee endorsement, or conditional endorsements do not qualify. Social media endorsements count only from verified accounts, and likes or retweets alone do not constitute endorsement. Quote tweets with additional supportive commentary do count. Sarcastic statements or those immediately clarified as jokes do not qualify.

Resolution Sources

Contract Documents