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PolymarketOpenEnds in 10 months

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Outcomes
March 31
Mid
17.5%
Bid
17.0%
Ask
18.0%
Spread
1.0%
Not March 31
Mid
82.5%
Bid
82.0%
Ask
83.0%
Spread
1.0%
Market Stats
Volume (24h)
$20.6K
Liquidity
$44.3K
Last Updated
2/19/26, 4:10 PM
Rules & Resolution

If Iran halts or severely restricts international maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official governmental information, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.