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KalshiOpenEnds in 45 months

Who will win the next Japanese general election?

Outcomes
:: LDP
Mid
99.5%
Bid
-
Ask
-
Not :: LDP
Mid
0.5%
Bid
-
Ask
-
Market Stats
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$0
Open Interest
$18.6K
Last Updated
2/19/26, 8:50 AM
Rules & Resolution

If the winner of the next Japanese general election is the LDP, then the market resolves to Yes.

Additional Conditions

The market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority. For a parliamentary election, the winner is the party or formal pre-election coalition that wins the most seats in the specified chamber, even if they do not form the government. If there is a tie for the most seats, the winner is the party that enters government; if that doesn't resolve the tie, the winner is the party with the higher share of the vote. If an election is postponed, the contract remains open until the new date, for a maximum of two years. Contested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction.

Resolution Sources

Contract Documents