Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

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Outcomes

Elon Musk

Mid

1.4%

Bid

1.3%

Ask

1.4%

Spread

0.1%

Not Elon Musk

Mid

98.6%

Bid

98.6%

Ask

98.7%

Spread

0.1%

Market Stats

Volume (24h)

$443.9K

Liquidity

$754.1K

Last Updated

2/19/26, 4:21 AM

Rules & Resolution

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.

Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.