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PolymarketOpenEnds in 10 months

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?

Outcomes
December 31
Mid
34.0%
Bid
-
Ask
-
Not December 31
Mid
66.0%
Bid
-
Ask
-
Market Stats
Volume (24h)
$7.9K
Liquidity
$8.8K
Last Updated
2/19/26, 4:10 PM
Rules & Resolution

If Iran halts or severely restricts international maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official governmental information, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.