Will the total vote count in the first round of the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic primary be above 1100000?
If the total vote count in the first round of the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic primary is above 1100000, then the market resolves to Yes.
Additional Conditions
The vote count refers to the officially certified results from the relevant election authority. Provisional, absentee, early, mail-in, or electronic ballots are included only if reflected in the official certification. In preferential or ranked-choice systems, the contract resolves based on the vote count identified as the official result by the certifying authority. If the election is held in multiple phases, the contract resolves on the certified aggregate total. If a runoff forms part of the certified result, it is encompassed. The contract resolves based on officially certified results regardless of ongoing appeals. Preliminary counts, exit polls, projections, or uncertified results do not qualify. If the election is postponed but held within one year of the originally scheduled date, the contract remains valid; if postponed beyond one year or canceled, all contracts resolve to No.
Resolution Sources
- ABC
- ABC News Australia
- Al Jazeera
- Axios
- BBC
- Bloomberg News
- CBS
- CNN
- Deutsche Welle
- Financial Times
- Fox News
- France24
- MSNBC
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- Politico
- Reuters
- the Associated Press
- The New York Times
- the relevant election commission of the country in which takes place
- the relevant electoral authority governing
- the relevant national statistics agency of
- the US Census Bureau
- The Wall Street Journal
- The Washington Post