Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Outcomes

:: Current incumbent, Workers' Party

Mid

52.5%

Bid

Ask

Not :: Current incumbent, Workers' Party

Mid

47.5%

Bid

Ask

Market Stats

Volume (24h)

$810

Liquidity

$19.6K

Open Interest

$28.2K

Last Updated

2/19/26, 7:10 AM

Rules & Resolution

If Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva has won the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Sources