Outcomes
Before Jul 1, 2026
Mid
57.5%Bid
-Ask
-Not Before Jul 1, 2026
Mid
42.5%Bid
-Ask
-Market Stats
Volume (24h)
$44
Liquidity
$0
Open Interest
$34.0K
Last Updated
2/19/26, 1:00 PM
Rules & Resolution
If SpaceX confirms an IPO before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Additional Conditions
An IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Jul 1, 2026.