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PolymarketOpenEnds in 4 months

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Outcomes
Yes
Mid
3.3%
Bid
3.2%
Ask
3.4%
Spread
0.2%
No
Mid
96.7%
Bid
96.6%
Ask
96.8%
Spread
0.2%
Market Stats
Volume (24h)
$6.5K
Liquidity
$77.7K
Last Updated
2/19/26, 8:51 AM
Rules & Resolution

On January 16, Elon Musk posted that buying Ryanair might be a "good idea." You can read more about that here: https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2012172825444913299

This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that Elon Musk, either personally or through an entity led or majority owned by him, enters into an agreement to buy Ryanair by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announced agreement between Elon Musk and Ryanair will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.

An agreement to merge with a qualifying entity will count toward "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Elon Musk and Ryanair, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.