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KalshiClosedEnds in 6 days

Will the minimum temperature be 46-47° on Feb 18, 2026?

Outcomes
46° to 47°
Mid
21.0%
Bid
-
Ask
-
Not 46° to 47°
Mid
79.0%
Bid
-
Ask
-
Market Stats
Volume (24h)
$6.6K
Liquidity
$2.3K
Open Interest
$4.9K
Last Updated
2/19/26, 7:50 AM
Rules & Resolution

If the minimum temperature recorded at Los Angeles for Feb 18, 2026, is between 46-47° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.

Additional Conditions

Data for CLILAX can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=lox, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "Los Angeles Airport, CA" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.

Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.

Resolution Sources

Contract Documents