Outcomes
Yes
Mid
8.0%Bid
-Ask
-No
Mid
92.0%Bid
-Ask
-Market Stats
Volume (24h)
$41
Liquidity
$17.6K
Open Interest
$402
Last Updated
2/19/26, 7:10 AM
Rules & Resolution
If the Chair of the Federal Reserve says Trade War at his Mar 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes.
Additional Conditions
Video of the Mar 2026 will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Mar 2026 will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details. If the event does not occur before Mar 19, 2026, then a strike for the event not occurring will resolve to Yes and all other strikes will resolve to No.