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KalshiClosedEnds in 6 days

Will the maximum temperature be <49° on Feb 18, 2026?

Outcomes
48° or below
Mid
0.5%
Bid
-
Ask
-
Not 48° or below
Mid
99.5%
Bid
-
Ask
-
Market Stats
Volume (24h)
$4.3K
Liquidity
$2.6K
Open Interest
$3.5K
Last Updated
2/19/26, 7:50 AM
Rules & Resolution

If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Feb 18, 2026, is less than 49° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.

Additional Conditions

Data for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "San Francisco Airport" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.

Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.

Resolution Sources

Contract Documents