Outcomes
Before 2027
Mid
8.5%Bid
-Ask
-Not Before 2027
Mid
91.5%Bid
-Ask
-Market Stats
Volume (24h)
$322
Liquidity
$0
Open Interest
$40.2K
Last Updated
2/19/26, 10:40 AM
Rules & Resolution
If any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction before January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET, the market resolves to Yes.