Outcomes
Before Oct 1, 2026
Mid
33.5%Bid
-Ask
-Not Before Oct 1, 2026
Mid
66.5%Bid
-Ask
-Market Stats
Volume (24h)
$5
Liquidity
$0
Open Interest
$1.7K
Last Updated
2/19/26, 4:10 PM
Rules & Resolution
If OpenAI confirms an IPO before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Additional Conditions
An IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Oct 1, 2026.