KalshiOpenEnds in 10 months
Will legislation that establishes a federal critical-minerals reserve to mitigate supply disruptions become law before Jan 1, 2027?
Outcomes
Critical-minerals stockpile
Mid
52.5%Bid
-Ask
-Not Critical-minerals stockpile
Mid
47.5%Bid
-Ask
-Market Stats
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$0
Open Interest
$385
Last Updated
2/19/26, 11:00 AM
Rules & Resolution
If legislation that establishes a federal critical-minerals reserve to mitigate supply disruptions has become law before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Additional Conditions
An example of this is H.R. 7126 (119th) — “To establish a Strategic Resilience Reserve of the United States…”
The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage. For "become law" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to No. Joint resolutions are treated as bills. Treaties require two-thirds Senate approval for passage. The market resolves based on the first occurrence of the specified milestone.