KalshiOpenEnds in 10 months
Will legislation that requires location-verification security mechanisms on certain advanced chips before export become law before Jan 1, 2027?
Outcomes
Export-control chip security
Mid
32.0%Bid
-Ask
-Not Export-control chip security
Mid
68.0%Bid
-Ask
-Market Stats
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$0
Open Interest
$590
Last Updated
2/19/26, 11:00 AM
Rules & Resolution
If legislation that requires location-verification security mechanisms on certain advanced chips before export has become law before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Additional Conditions
An example of this is H.R. 3447 (119th) — “Chip Security Act.”
The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage. For "become law" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to No. Joint resolutions are treated as bills. Treaties require two-thirds Senate approval for passage. The market resolves based on the first occurrence of the specified milestone.