Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q1 2026

Outcomes

450k–475k

Mid

0.4%

Bid

0.8%

Ask

1.0%

Spread

0.2%

Not 450k–475k

Mid

99.7%

Bid

99.0%

Ask

99.2%

Spread

0.2%

Market Stats

Volume (24h)

$62

Liquidity

$1.6K

Last Updated

2/19/26, 10:40 AM

Rules & Resolution

This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q1 2026.

If Tesla does not publish Q1 2026 delivery figures by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.