Outcomes
Gemini:: Google
Mid
47.0%Bid
45.0%Ask
49.0%Spread
4.0%Not Gemini:: Google
Mid
53.0%Bid
51.0%Ask
55.0%Spread
4.0%Market Stats
Volume (24h)
$106.7K
Liquidity
$0
Open Interest
$285.4K
Last Updated
2/19/26, 8:51 AM
Rules & Resolution
If Google has the top-ranked LLM on Feb 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Additional Conditions
If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win.