Will any candidate win the Texas Republican Senate Primary outright?

Primary elections in Texas are scheduled to be held on March 3, 2026, with a runoff on May 26 if no candidate receives a majority.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round, i.e., obtains an outright majority. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.