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KalshiClosedEnds in 22 months

Which countries will have recessions?

Outcomes
Germany
Mid
50.0%
Bid
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Ask
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Not Germany
Mid
50.0%
Bid
-
Ask
-
Market Stats
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$0
Open Interest
$6.0K
Last Updated
2/19/26, 11:00 AM
Rules & Resolution

If Germany has two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth between Jan 1, 2024 and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Additional Conditions

The exact dataset for Germany is Gross Domestic Product, Real, Seasonally Adjusted, Domestic Currency from the IMF.

Resolution Sources

Contract Documents