Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?

View on Polymarket

Outcomes

Balendra “Balen” Shah

Mid

45.5%

Bid

64.0%

Ask

66.0%

Spread

2.0%

Not Balendra “Balen” Shah

Mid

54.5%

Bid

34.0%

Ask

36.0%

Spread

2.0%

Market Stats

Volume (24h)

$3.6K

Liquidity

$7.1K

Last Updated

2/19/26, 9:00 AM

Rules & Resolution

Elections for Nepal’s House of Representatives are scheduled for March 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially sworn in as Prime Minister of Nepal following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Nepal; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.